
In his book,
"Heatstroke: Nature in an Age of Global Warming"
(Island Press, 2009), University of California, Berkeley, biologist Anthony
Barnosky. says that because of climate change,
wilderness left to its own will no longer look like the natural areas
we see today.
Our conservation strategies must be rethought, he adds,
because business-as-usual will not preserve all the aspects of nature
we have come to know, love and respect.
Setting
aside preserves, for example, puts animals and plants in a bind: As
global warming makes their current habitats unsuitable, surrounding
human development prevents them from moving to more hospitable places.
The alternative, assisted migration, smacks of creating wild zoos -
quasi-natural areas like the dinosaur wonderland portrayed in the book
and movie "Jurassic Park."
"The new twist in preserving nature is
that we might have to come up with a separate but equal system, where
we actively set aside some tracts of land as wildlands where people can
experience this feeling of 'wilderness,' but recognize that the species
that live in those places and the landscape are not going to be the
species and landscape we are used to," he says. "Our kids are going to
see very different things in those kinds of places than we do."
Warming already altering patterns of migration
Barnosky describes in his book how global warming is already causing
shifts in the ranges of animals and plants, disrupting migrations and
spawning, and stressing animals confined to parks and reserves.
While ecosystem change and extinction are normal, Barnosky
reminds us that past climate change, such as cooling at the beginning
of glacial periods and warming with the onset of interglacial periods,
took place over thousands of years.
The current warming is happening
faster, by a factor of about 10.
Global warming multiplies impacts of human activities
Global warming comes on top of many other environmental impacts
that have been stressing the environment, Barnosky notes in his book.
He wrote "Heatstroke," in part, because he "wanted to raise awareness
that global warming is not just an add-on consequence as far as impacts
on ecosystems and nature are concerned.
We are all aware of habitat fragmentation,
invasive species, growing human populations, and the tradeoff between
resources needed to sustain us versus resources to sustain other
species.
People tend to think those are the big problems, and that global warming is going to heat things up a bit.
"In reality, global warming, as far as how it is going to change
nature, is as big or bigger a problem than all of those other four, and
especially when you put it together with all of the other four.
There are feedbacks that make everything much more severe. It is like multiplying rather than adding everything up."
Solutions to protect both species and wilderness
Wilderness
must be protected, he says, if for no other reason than that it acts as
a canary in a coal mine, "a barometer of how healthy the Earth actually
is."
But imperiled species must also be protected as biodiversity
resources, he adds, even if this requires assisted migration of not
only the endangered species, but also the plants and animals these
species interact with in their ecosystem.
One alternative
that some scientists have put forward is Pleistocene
rewilding, a wild
idea to re-establish the large "megafauna" that dominated Earth during
the planet's last major bout with global climate change, the period of
on-and-off glaciation that took place between 2 million and 10,000
years ago.
Read more details about
Barnosky and Heatstroke